Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f0c0d5e4d51e10145c3bad99ad37e837d5c55a9edd3346221d0f41fbab6dbc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 65c | 1,101$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.38 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 6c | 860.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 29c | 838.11$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 9c | 498.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 491.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a78cbacked Yes | 14c | 352.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 26c | 347.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed No | 76c | 336.24$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 301 | 44.9%135 W · 166 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 4c | 305.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 31c | 254.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 32c | 240.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 25c | 237.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 6c | 230$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 173$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 29c | 168.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 74c | 164.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 24c | 144.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 25c | 139.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 25c | 139.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 139$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 70c | 133.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 131.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 129.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 36c | 129.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 25c | 126.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 26c | 117.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…1652backed Yes | 26c | 117.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 36c | 109.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…e184backed No | 67c | 99.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 98.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 97.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 71c | 96.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 32c | 86.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 24c | 84.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed Yes | 29c | 79.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 18c | 78.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 75.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…87b5backed Yes | 28c | 71.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 71c | 70.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 35c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…b997backed Yes | 26c | 66.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 34c | 64.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 70c | 60.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 31c | 56.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 26c | 55.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…563bbacked Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…0589backed No | 64c | 54.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 86 | 73.3%63 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 31c | 53.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 68c | 52.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…526bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 80c | 49.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 26c | 47.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 33c | 40.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 37.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 71c | 35.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 33.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…e002backed No | 73c | 31.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 71c | 27.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 67c | 24.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…baf4backed No | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 22.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 21.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 77c | 21.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 62c | 19.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 80c | 17.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 15.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.