Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b0289a77f134286cd3a75d9ae564087de1dc82c1b341075880245e9143ba0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,704$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,031$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 8c | 610.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 34c | 416.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 7c | 392.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 68c | 389.38$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 36c | 369.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 354.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 30c | 334.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 17c | 314.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 310.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 37c | 282$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d24…5257backed Yes | 40c | 248.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 74c | 222.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed No | 70c | 211.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 210.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed Yes | 31c | 202.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 75c | 193.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 34c | 184.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…b1d8backed Yes | 31c | 180.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 69c | 162.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 21c | 159.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 39c | 148.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 40c | 142.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 141.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 19c | 123.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…dc4ebacked Yes | 33c | 120.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 118.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…3a27backed Yes | 15c | 113.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 111.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 20c | 111.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 28c | 105.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 17c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 49c | 103.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 21c | 99.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed Yes | 51c | 97.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…e027backed Yes | 29c | 84.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 21c | 83.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 28c | 80.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 35c | 80.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 32c | 79.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 79.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 63c | 74.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 33c | 71.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…b4adbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 19c | 67.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 65.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 69c | 61.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…ca1ebacked Yes | 33c | 61.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…e1a7backed Yes | 25c | 60.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 20c | 56.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 28c | 52.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 22c | 49.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 32c | 47.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 59c | 46.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed Yes | 32c | 44.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 31c | 42.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed No | 68c | 41.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 80c | 40.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 69c | 40.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…e027backed Yes | 36c | 39.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 27c | 38.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 70c | 38.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 65c | 38.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked No | 73c | 37.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 66c | 37.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 28c | 37.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 34c | 36.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…b670backed Yes | 28c | 35.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…af96backed Yes | 32c | 35.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 69c | 34.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked No | 78c | 32.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 43c | 31.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 30.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 65c | 26.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.