Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b0ec76af8753b63f8af54c3b5ad3f2595c761cd36c5efdb3198ef9dc01283c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed Yes | 29c | 2,778$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.86 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 70c | 1,527$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.3 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 934.68$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.92 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 2c | 848.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 66c | 566.02$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.96 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 46c | 527.53$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…ec9cbacked Yes | 37c | 516.26$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 72c | 408$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 378.74$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 20c | 368$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 38c | 352.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.86 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…8be2backed Yes | 43c | 351.03$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed Yes | 76c | 322.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 310.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed No | 11c | 284$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 31c | 280.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 32c | 279.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 51c | 251.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 249.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.23 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 224$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 36c | 199.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 181.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 19c | 179$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…d402backed Yes | 31c | 156.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 67c | 155.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 33c | 149.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 33c | 149.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 35c | 148.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 31c | 141.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…401ebacked Yes | 33c | 139.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 374 | 17.4%65 W · 309 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 58c | 133$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 56c | 132.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 33c | 128.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 35c | 126.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 28c | 125.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 118.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…adddbacked No | 66c | 114.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 18c | 108.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…c99bbacked Yes | 35c | 108.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 20c | 100.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 97.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 67c | 95.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 32c | 95.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 67c | 95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30c…ebb2backed No | 50c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 55c | 91.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 26c | 91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 77c | 87.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Yes | 41c | 85.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 56c | 83.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 69c | 74.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 69c | 74.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 41c | 74.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 64c | 73.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 24c | 72.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 33c | 72.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 42c | 68.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 16c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 64c | 62.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 34c | 61.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 54c | 61.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 36c | 61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 71c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 59.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 49c | 58.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 69c | 57.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 71c | 56.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 54.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 33c | 54.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked Yes | 66c | 53.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…61afbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 65c | 46.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 44.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…b1a8backed No | 65c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 76c | 41.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 36c | 39.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 40c | 38.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 33c | 38.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…9145backed Yes | 39c | 38.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 36c | 36.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.