TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52f7…b1a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6566.2%43 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$4.02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$3.1
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$3.05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$4.12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$5.45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$4.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$3.17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$4.05
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$4.34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$6.25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$6.95
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FaZe Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.