Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2735ae420ce39aa9b10561f1b9a4735388e751fb4fb3fef60a71fcfddea1a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 1,148$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 923.23$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 76c | 695.03$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 603.16$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.21 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 460.84$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 34c | 444.51$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 21c | 442.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 12c | 408.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 35c | 383.92$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 376.24$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 21c | 261.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 218.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 22c | 190.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 184.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bb…ec4fbacked Yes | 42c | 180.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 58c | 178$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 58c | 177.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 171.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 66c | 150.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 21c | 149.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 36c | 142.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 57c | 139.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 46c | 137.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 57c | 131.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…191abacked Yes | 36c | 129.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 129.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 126.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 40c | 125.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 15c | 122.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 26c | 122.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 29c | 118.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 12c | 106.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed Yes | 25c | 105.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 101.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 55c | 94.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…8a35backed Yes | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 55c | 90.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 14c | 86.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 85.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 84.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 76c | 83.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 60c | 76.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 66c | 75.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 71c | 73.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 60c | 73.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 35c | 70.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 36c | 69.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 21c | 69.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 19c | 68.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 71c | 66.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 37c | 65.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 53c | 63.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 58c | 63.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 35c | 62.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 66c | 61.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 59.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 37c | 58.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8596…a5abbacked Yes | 52c | 57.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 58c | 56.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 18c | 55.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 59c | 54.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…9270backed Yes | 18c | 54.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 51.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 41c | 50.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 42c | 50.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…4f98backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 31c | 47.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 34c | 47.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 29c | 46.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 60c | 44.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8241…1ababacked Yes | 51c | 44.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…e526backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 35c | 40.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 63c | 39.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 40c | 34.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 71c | 34.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…281bbacked No | 63c | 33.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 54c | 31.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 54c | 31.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 71c | 31.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 37c | 30.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…b048backed Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7565backed No | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.