Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19846f14cc5ce8bc115f84c6e51f295862b476261caa9ea27ce6f292d59c433c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 27c | 1,817$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.12 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 75c | 1,132$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.33 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 927.54$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 670.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Yes | 21c | 613$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.73 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 603.1$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.69 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 51c | 547.35$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 536.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 28c | 516.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 77c | 499.13$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.14 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 46c | 486.72$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 468.16$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 65c | 367.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.81 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 34c | 345.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 264 | 41.3%109 W · 155 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 341.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 339.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 28c | 316.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 41c | 301.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…6ca6backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 28c | 286.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 80c | 279$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 24c | 266.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 247.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 24c | 235.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 69c | 233.01$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 29c | 232.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 68c | 232.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 80c | 230$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 19c | 225.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.82 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 5c | 218.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 32c | 210$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 187.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 31c | 150.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 19c | 148.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 19c | 144.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 35c | 143.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 34c | 137.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 33c | 136.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…80babacked Yes | 72c | 131.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 74c | 128.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 126.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 72c | 124.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 105.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 12c | 104.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 41c | 100.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 25c | 91.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 50c | 90.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 19c | 89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 39c | 85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 74c | 84.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 84.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…48cfbacked Yes | 61c | 82.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 20c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 25c | 81.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 45c | 80.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed No | 80c | 79.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 39c | 79.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…3a27backed No | 33c | 76.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 44c | 71.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 68c | 71.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 67c | 70.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 19c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 30c | 67.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked No | 26c | 64.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 59c | 62.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 60.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 21c | 60.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 74c | 57.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 40c | 57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 68c | 56.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 27c | 55.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 67c | 54.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…e62bbacked Yes | 74c | 53.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 24c | 52.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 67c | 50.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…58e7backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 68c | 49.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 26c | 48.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 24c | 47.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 68c | 43.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 31c | 41.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 70c | 40.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 79c | 40.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 45c | 39.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…6c83backed Yes | 28c | 39.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +256.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…9f83backed Yes | 78c | 38.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 68c | 36.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.