Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco to score first vs. Scotland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513cf614e2ade52d7480a8f6a06c322773419bad390c4f2ea253b9fbf1d5151f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,051$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.57 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 1,965$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 35c | 1,374$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.83 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 1,173$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.63 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 65c | 1,010$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…5e4bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 35c | 999.92$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 993.08$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 35c | 903.48$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.93 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 36c | 620.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…7852backed Yes | 65c | 606.14$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 64c | 554.66$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 35c | 399.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 36c | 384.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…9193backed Yes | 65c | 304.09$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 36c | 243.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…8390backed Yes | 65c | 212.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…6a40backed Yes | 64c | 185.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372c…931bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf24…a697backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 120.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 110.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 36c | 99.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6599backed Yes | 65c | 89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…b515backed Yes | 65c | 76.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 65c | 63.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a1ebbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes | 65c | 49.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…b0a1backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea3…8b1dbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…309ebacked Yes | 65c | 36.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 64c | 35.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…87a6backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…0bacbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…5084backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 35c | 30.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035c…ff43backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74e…953cbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…67d2backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…586dbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3163backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…ac72backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724a…39b5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco to score first vs. Scotland?this page
- Scotland to score first vs. Morocco?No won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.