Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd876c738e0f1a5f71489bfc4d72e0413ba4c62beb0036e2d1491232ed82c9e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a9…0781backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 44c | 5,266$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.79 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Under | 55c | 5,242$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.43 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.78 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 4,547$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.17 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 3,055$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.32 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 2,790$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.41 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed Under | 56c | 2,234$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 45c | 1,568$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.6 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 45c | 1,433$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.82 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 3c | 1,418$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.1 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 56c | 1,037$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.25 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 52c | 995$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 50c | 605.07$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.59 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 58c | 504$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 56c | 367.14$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 354.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 45c | 303.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 46c | 246.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 228$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 49c | 218.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 45c | 189.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 56c | 116.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 48c | 107.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 56c | 103.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Under | 57c | 101.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 44c | 96.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…90fcbacked Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 46c | 82.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Under | 18c | 81.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 45c | 46.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 55c | 45.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Over | 44c | 43.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 55c | 37.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…d45fbacked Under | 59c | 32.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 209 | 60.8%127 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 48c | 30.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 71c | 24.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 60c | 17.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTeam WE won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.