Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e9533b1b8ac1457e0e2cc5bf692b0f1a0a9d219955c194c5c46d93e44372705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Yes | 67c | 17,143$11,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.07 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 13,606$7,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.67 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 11,373$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 6,621$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 21c | 4,999$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.89 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 22c | 4,544$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 1,780$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.9 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 707.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 78c | 688.78$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 450$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 22c | 392$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 21c | 301.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…ad4abacked Yes | 80c | 258.56$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Yes | 73c | 232.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 65c | 154.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 14c | 145.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 144.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 79c | 139.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 131$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 23c | 69.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 35c | 56.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed No | 32c | 37.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 68c | 27.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…a575backed Yes | 80c | 26.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…f3d0backed Yes | 49c | 22.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Yes | 68c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 76c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.