Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e64dcd2107e28ee1bee61b68c11f85cc59c4c555a46a0c11fa43f911e3cd16e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 65c | 30,127$19,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,550.31 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 66c | 28,709$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,809.64 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 28,162$9,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,797.77 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 65c | 20,000$13,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 18,106$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.72 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 11,330$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.65 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 35c | 5,600$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 5,078$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.88 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 2,814$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.84 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 1,149$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.04 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed No | 65c | 1,135$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 66c | 1,006$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.03 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 64c | 950$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 482.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 35c | 466.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 41c | 339.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed No | 63c | 317.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 279.28$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 35c | 266.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 38c | 251.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 35c | 199.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 39c | 166.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 53c | 165.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 35c | 156.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 13c | 154.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…be53backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 15c | 82.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…0073backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 78.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 15c | 75.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 66.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…7bccbacked Yes | 62c | 63.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 59.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed No | 66c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 41.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Yes | 35c | 36.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed No | 66c | 31.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked No | 65c | 28.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will SC Preußen Münster vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.