Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6686bffe638790d174680b085e6900500766a29a4f4a73230c468159f4146087
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 43c | 34,734$14,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,756.58 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…d337backed Under | 0c | 14,560$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 8,197$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.7 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 7,878$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.17 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 5,984$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.94 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 3,447$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.81 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 3,124$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 3,120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 57c | 513.55$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 57c | 179.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 57c | 153$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 762 | 41.9%319 W · 443 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 57c | 135.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 57c | 119.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 57c | 84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 657 | 57.7%379 W · 278 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 57c | 84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 607 | 57.3%348 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 57c | 84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 81.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 835 | 59.3%495 W · 340 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 57c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Under | 57c | 59.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 57c | 58.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 57c | 52.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 57c | 50.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.