Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714be6248205533f0f8bfb1b8b9f817154c21cfece7b1e6133d3324437ba411d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 35c | 30,000$10,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,513.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 14,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 7,730$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.74 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 7,545$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.22 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 35c | 7,514$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 6,616$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 6,478$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.37 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…00fcbacked Yes | 62c | 3,565$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 1c | 3,396$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 3c | 2,350$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 2,325$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.75 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,918$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…d8debacked No | 66c | 1,560$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Yes | 34c | 1,558$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…91c6backed Yes | 41c | 1,458$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 66c | 1,410$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 34c | 1,410$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 24c | 1,400$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,067$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…9780backed No | 2c | 708.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 16c | 637.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 65c | 624$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.88 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 80c | 579$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 26c | 539.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 29c | 510.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 9c | 504.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 65c | 464$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 453.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 14c | 354.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Yes | 68c | 336.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 62c | 317$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 287.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 239.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 78c | 209.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 62c | 199.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 64c | 185.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 69c | 176.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 63c | 157.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 31c | 150.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 38c | 123.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 34c | 121.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 24c | 118.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…5024backed No | 64c | 102.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 65c | 101$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 40c | 91.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 65c | 73.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 64c | 72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 43c | 68.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 36c | 67.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked No | 65c | 61.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 68c | 58.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 56.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 55.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 63c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed No | 65c | 49.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 24c | 45.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 64c | 39.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 63c | 37.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed No | 65c | 34.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed No | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 65c | 29.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…abdabacked Yes | 61c | 24.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a5d5backed No | 50c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 76c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.