Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b5fc4c8024b776107c95fe018ac763202d369aa997e902662fa47b8b177596d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 2c | 1,825$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 651$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 71c | 509.86$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 485$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 77c | 411.27$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 280.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 264.86$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 27c | 250.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 72c | 185$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 27c | 183.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 176.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 135.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 73c | 133$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 26c | 109.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 29c | 107.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 73.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 69.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 74c | 65.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 60.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 56.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 69c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.