Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x213d8414403c285b855af76900737a3a72cca037c6393221486a7509f0cd5a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 48c | 29,000$13,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,918.52 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 10,969$6,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,424.91 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 52c | 10,855$5,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 48c | 9,274$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Under | 52c | 5,625$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 5,192$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.11 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…d211backed Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 52c | 3,206$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 2,156$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.33 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…9207backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 19c | 1,741$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.16 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 52c | 1,689$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.37 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…cb8dbacked Over | 51c | 1,650$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 34c | 1,249$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.55 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 1,214$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 48c | 962.25$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 840.33$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 50c | 655.41$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 61c | 545.36$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 511.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.12 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…27b3backed Over | 51c | 506.58$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Under | 50c | 396.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 54c | 391.08$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 227.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 52c | 206.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 46c | 176.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 158.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 50c | 150.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…dd29backed Over | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…bf62backed Over | 49c | 126.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 52c | 122.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…7d1abacked Over | 49c | 119.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 52c | 113.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Over | 21c | 91.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 86.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 49c | 81.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 50c | 67.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over | 50c | 56.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 53.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…276fbacked Over | 50c | 50.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…d7c4backed Over | 49c | 48.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 35c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 43c | 40.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 50c | 40.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Over | 51c | 39.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Over | 50c | 33.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Over | 49c | 28.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 26.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 23.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.