Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fd4aee9d1b1eee8cb6ada3e41271e5d260603a66b4dbbca26ee25e26f5ca76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 2,337$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.74 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 2,293$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.93 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 76c | 2,127$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.81 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 75c | 1,327$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 860.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 71c | 600.67$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.04 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 591.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.58 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…8191backed Under | 27c | 444.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 435.93$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 23c | 435$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.95 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 73c | 372.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 23c | 219.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 27c | 219.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 211.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 46c | 203.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 189.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 40c | 114.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 28c | 107.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 28c | 70.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over | 74c | 67.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 75c | 66.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…166abacked Over | 71c | 59.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Over | 55c | 53.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 69c | 40.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 42c | 30.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 68c | 26.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 72c | 21.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…a5ddbacked Under | 61c | 18.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 73c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.