Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada186f7b4df79e91f9287a6428da1121bb94504c0773f288643339c4245653a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,350$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 28c | 971.28$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 889.16$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.54 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 731.1$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 545$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 21c | 476.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 28c | 410.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 258.33$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 181$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 89.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 55.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…76e1backed Yes | 29c | 49.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…b6a5backed Yes | 30c | 49.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2346…48d0backed Yes | 30c | 46.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…71adbacked Yes | 30c | 45.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bab…9d94backed Yes | 30c | 43.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 72c | 35.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 22.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bf…5b91backed No | 72c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…eda8backed No | 72c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…dc56backed No | 72c | 19.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…58eebacked No | 73c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…7a9dbacked No | 72c | 18.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…e2ccbacked No | 72c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…0944backed No | 72c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…f2ecbacked No | 72c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda36…0a9cbacked No | 72c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…debcbacked No | 72c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7178backed No | 72c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…c03dbacked No | 73c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.