NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b8179ac7c793627afe25557f12c561494ef0843774b2178ed98fc75d28980e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Panthers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Capitals | 49c | 11,045$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.78 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Panthers | 53c | 10,667$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.05 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Panthers | 54c | 10,110$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.32 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 46c | 6,630$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.24 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Panthers | 53c | 3,033$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.28 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 50c | 2,430$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.8 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Capitals | 73c | 2,370$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 14c | 1,970$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers | 51c | 1,708$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.2 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Capitals | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Panthers | 52c | 1,699$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Capitals | 44c | 1,685$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.99 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Panthers | 54c | 1,075$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.49 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Capitals | 48c | 1,043$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.36 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…ec44backed Panthers | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Capitals | 46c | 950$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 52c | 948.96$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.6 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 47c | 839.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.18 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 47c | 797$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.43 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Panthers | 57c | 527.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 48c | 523.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.87 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 52c | 507.72$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Panthers | 52c | 388.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Capitals | 46c | 385$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Capitals | 49c | 214.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Capitals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Panthers | 52c | 207.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Capitals | 45c | 179.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…71cdbacked Capitals | 47c | 159.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…149ebacked Capitals | 48c | 147.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Panthers | 53c | 147.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…ccddbacked Panthers | 54c | 145.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Capitals | 48c | 134.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…d17cbacked Capitals | 46c | 132.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…e5f6backed Capitals | 48c | 128.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…9c0cbacked Capitals | 48c | 126.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Panthers | 53c | 126.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…3b35backed Capitals | 47c | 126.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…c5d4backed Capitals | 48c | 125.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…697fbacked Capitals | 48c | 123.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1a…9c17backed Panthers | 53c | 123.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Panthers | 57c | 123.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Panthers | 53c | 122.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Panthers | 53c | 122.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…6ed6backed Capitals | 47c | 122.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Panthers | 55c | 122.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…a614backed Panthers | 53c | 122.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2210…2656backed Capitals | 48c | 118.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 52c | 116.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…c68dbacked Panthers | 54c | 114.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed Panthers | 53c | 113.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…d3c3backed Panthers | 54c | 111.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…510cbacked Panthers | 53c | 110.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…5ea7backed Panthers | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b59…eccdbacked Capitals | 47c | 109.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…576bbacked Panthers | 54c | 108.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Capitals | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 47c | 106.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…4684backed Panthers | 55c | 105.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Capitals | 48c | 105.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Capitals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…7b77backed Capitals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…6206backed Panthers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Capitals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Panthers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3d…f363backed Capitals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Panthers | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…d471backed Capitals | 47c | 99.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…51d5backed Capitals | 47c | 96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 59c | 95.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Capitals | 75c | 95.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Capitals | 48c | 94.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Panthers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…bf79backed Capitals | 46c | 94.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…7b70backed Capitals | 50c | 94.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 46c | 93.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…f737backed Capitals | 50c | 92.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Panthers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Panthers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Panthers | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…260fbacked Panthers | 55c | 90.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Capitals | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedca…7a29backed Capitals | 47c | 89.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…61d3backed Capitals | 48c | 87.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Panthers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…4684backed Panthers | 54c | 81.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…fddabacked Capitals | 50c | 78.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…e4bebacked Panthers | 53c | 78.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…821fbacked Capitals | 47c | 75.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…8e22backed Panthers | 55c | 75.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…bf31backed Capitals | 50c | 74.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Panthers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…2f88backed Panthers | 53c | 73.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.