TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, and Dallas Cowboys all win on Thanksgiving?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,099 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes15c1,577$240 inLost-$240944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Yes22c918.33$200 inLost-$20015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Yes55c500$275 inLost-$2751258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No22c216.92$48 inWon+$169.241540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc394…8444backed Yes78c120$94 inLost-$93.69369.9%65 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No50c96.53$48 inWon+$48.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No22c91.52$20 inWon+$71.391758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efc…478fbacked Yes78c70$55 inLost-$54.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.