AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42535ddd4c6b467d0d910061b66ffcdb28877899e92f293638f0c89eb47373ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 41c | 818.04$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 60c | 560$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…f622backed Yes | 76c | 379.06$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 55c | 256.65$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 18c | 243.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3c45backed Yes | 40c | 171.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 22c | 159.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 102$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 731 | 35.6%260 W · 471 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…dce7backed Yes | 40c | 100.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 100.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f2…5a03backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 30c | 90.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 63c | 56.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 55.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…d40ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 30c | 53.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…14aebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…1a6abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…1c55backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 79c | 47.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed Yes | 29c | 41.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 37c | 37.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 60c | 35.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 78c | 20.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?this page
- Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.