Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc60d90eea4c0cc0861f127a8b0b414226eb0f40c3b9e0f7d17e3babaa736944c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 11,585$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.25 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 6c | 1,698$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 8c | 1,474$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,390$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 4c | 1,334$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 2c | 811.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 6c | 808$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 2c | 796.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked Yes | 3c | 691.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 2c | 689$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 7c | 385.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…d9bfbacked Yes | 7c | 379.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 9c | 358.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 8c | 356.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 6c | 340.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…2ddebacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…03c0backed Yes | 9c | 302.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 7c | 291.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…ad33backed Yes | 6c | 267.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 8c | 238.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 8c | 234.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…5e04backed Yes | 7c | 190$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 158$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 9c | 154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 7c | 154$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 145.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…f2a8backed Yes | 9c | 143.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…1047backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.