Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cyprus win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1801f481a410f7c2e781bba74a222a0f7e6306eead05aca38e093963734a8add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 19c | 12,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 19c | 9,865$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.95 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 15c | 9,807$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.63 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 16c | 8,710$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.97 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 77c | 8,362$6,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.79 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 17c | 7,833$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.83 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 6,808$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 6,058$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 16c | 3,373$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.6 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 3,156$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 4c | 3,103$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Yes | 77c | 3,080$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Yes | 78c | 2,739$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 14c | 2,252$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 20c | 1,413$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 16c | 1,400$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.82 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 17c | 1,326$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fc…0996backed No | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 18c | 948.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 18c | 917.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 2c | 762.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 4c | 750$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 23c | 734.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 15c | 677$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 15c | 589.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 15c | 543.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked Yes | 75c | 401.18$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 21c | 391.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 25c | 390$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…d6c4backed No | 19c | 279.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…69d3backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 14c | 196.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 13c | 170.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…326cbacked Yes | 80c | 166.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…dfc3backed Yes | 78c | 131$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…7aadbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 15c | 126.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 30c | 107.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…10dabacked Yes | 79c | 92.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…74f4backed No | 20c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…2ae5backed Yes | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…1789backed Yes | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f744backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…2a5ebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…858dbacked Yes | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…f7b4backed Yes | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…fb1abacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…0fe5backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will San Marino vs. Cyprus end in a draw?No won
- Will San Marino win on 2025-10-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.