South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1a7f74e46f7207762677b312c53b42277ee85f0a11990f6fb730083730fbf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 43c | 11,859$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.81 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…3ca8backed Under | 38c | 7,645$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 5,685$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.77 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 38c | 5,153$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.06 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 5,117$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.43 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 4,860$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.99 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 3,772$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.34 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 3,314$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.28 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 65c | 1,153$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.45 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 58c | 1,046$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.83 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 47c | 631.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 34c | 441.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 73c | 323.29$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.67 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 220.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 195.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 39c | 174.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 66c | 134.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 35c | 121.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 44c | 114.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 100.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 100.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 44c | 91.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Over | 66c | 89.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Over | 38c | 79.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Under | 41c | 71.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 54.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 61c | 48.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 65c | 48.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 45c | 44.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 54c | 41.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 64c | 39.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 67c | 35.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 34.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 66c | 30.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 62c | 29.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Under | 59c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 58c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…2784backed Over | 62c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: Club Olimpia O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: Club Olimpia O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.