TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked Over41c146,804$59,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,886.332948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c67,608$41,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,104.812,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under59c30,047$17,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,319.171040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under59c14,477$8,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,960.378153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c8,564$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.25,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c7,422$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.332,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over10c5,550$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.631,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c5,203$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.28,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under60c3,435$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.2232139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under60c3,135$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.7751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Under59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Over41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over42c2,220$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.3867337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under62c1,992$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.951,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c796.5$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.93,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under60c784.68$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8516349.7%81 W · 82 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under59c763.99$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.391,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over11c711.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1819340.4%78 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under59c672.11$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3831240.1%125 W · 187 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under59c633.98$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under59c570.08$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.737847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under60c562.11$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Over42c522.45$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.432937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under60c475.99$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.413053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under60c472.22$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8927549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c459.95$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.581,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under60c444.44$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7827349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed Under59c421$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under59c419$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.711,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under59c356.98$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8216549.1%81 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Under61c334.64$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.652075%15 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under59c275$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7578856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under59c267.29$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5931136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Over41c241.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f61…86acbacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under59c219.49$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under59c206.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.678950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Over42c190.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under62c182.69$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.173243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c180.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.62,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Over41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over41c149.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1241654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under61c141.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8527855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under60c135.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7872450.6%366 W · 358 L-24.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over23c129.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over18c120.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.358442.9%36 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.642552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under59c116.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.814971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under61c114$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4618050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1712755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4023453%124 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under60c98.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2240651%207 W · 199 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over36c77.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8515041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Over41c71.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.142119%4 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under60c63.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.443938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under59c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5914359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Over50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under70c56.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0463261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under62c52.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.116459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4473…f873backed Over41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under59c44.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1214463.9%92 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Over40c41.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Under59c36.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.073050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under59c33.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.845848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Under59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over41c29.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.063560%21 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Under59c29.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Under59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.253148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2572258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ceb…4716backed Under66c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.481883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under60c21.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.772850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under60c17.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.041872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.