South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113fc515538942d1f8e032d7bfe449321e9ce388480d3e6d263c9c666822c25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 52c | 8,604$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.2 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 6,854$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,869$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 1,368$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.59 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Over | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 69c | 1,305$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.71 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 970.29$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.7 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 29c | 857.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.26 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 26c | 846.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.66 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 56c | 697.24$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.62 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 60c | 667.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.46 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Over | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 11c | 436.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.36 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 25c | 411.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.66 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 11c | 395.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.13 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 64c | 287.26$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 11c | 241.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 65c | 240$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 46c | 219$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 23c | 204.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 199.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Over | 55c | 182.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 23c | 181.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 29c | 177$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 44c | 174.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 38c | 163.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 158.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 18c | 158$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 130.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 72c | 121.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 108.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 62c | 94.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Under | 47c | 76.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 64.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 48c | 56.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 55c | 50.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 44c | 42.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 71c | 33.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 64c | 31.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 0.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: Club Olimpia O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: Club Olimpia O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.