CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c49f25744e6470406f1c708cac029c847698d866dfa753e2374b9364a0ac81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 3,944$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.86 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked AM Gaming | 60c | 2,200$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.77 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AM Gaming | 63c | 1,926$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked AM Gaming | 49c | 1,000$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Johnny Speeds | 22c | 564.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 31c | 530.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Johnny Speeds | 25c | 445.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed AM Gaming | 73c | 428.57$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Johnny Speeds | 15c | 248$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 32c | 234.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked AM Gaming | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -9.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed AM Gaming | 56c | 189.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Johnny Speeds | 24c | 188.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked AM Gaming | 59c | 184.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AM Gaming | 72c | 177.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Johnny Speeds | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Johnny Speeds | 26c | 153.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed AM Gaming | 67c | 149.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Johnny Speeds | 18c | 122$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AM Gaming | 57c | 98.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Johnny Speeds | 23c | 78.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed AM Gaming | 55c | 62.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked AM Gaming | 79c | 29.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabc9…eb4cbacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 23.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.