TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3a1…3529backed No67c9,072$6,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,077.15669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c5,686$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.123,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes33c5,469$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,664.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c3,950$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No13c3,286$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.3830117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No76c2,322$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.5756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes33c1,759$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.7474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c1,677$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.832,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c1,666$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes25c1,551$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.4742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No8c1,128$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8817513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes76c787.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.617846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes24c785.79$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.26839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a0…978fbacked No77c710.13$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes25c644$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4831729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No60c608.98$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.322634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes39c561.19$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.0293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes22c499.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9823729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes25c476$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8263035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes45c458.51$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1821048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes23c410$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.71,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c380$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28555045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c8…2223backed Yes79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes33c367.7$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3641451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes33c367.7$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3635549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c345.94$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No15c296.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3345039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7156151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x772b…02fcbacked Yes39c270$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.71118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No57c263.46$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2451429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed No78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes27c207.41$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4110525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5621166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No53c199.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7414146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes40c192.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.545248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked No77c166.13$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.928345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c166$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0427745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c153.01$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5345947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes36c140.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9342048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No75c125.05$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7714119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c99.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.241,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed No74c98.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.678445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Yes22c97.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9426631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes64c96.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9927538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.967041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b10…523bbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.961650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No77c84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6839746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.337464.9%48 W · 26 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes23c79.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.063,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…887cbacked Yes24c75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf099…d75cbacked Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c66.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.232,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Yes31c60.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.657050%35 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes23c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Yes24c56.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No65c53.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514422.2%32 W · 112 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No78c51.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes23c50.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5681554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a8f9backed Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c0e…551ebacked No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-69.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes33c46.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6914647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes57c43.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.965151%26 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No55c43.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2418764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed No77c39.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1746243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…9d3bbacked No77c38.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5885…87d2backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No76c38.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.042,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No76c37.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.877844.9%35 W · 43 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed No53c37.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.167163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No78c37.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.319463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes29c36.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No77c35.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.483,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6e…3288backed No76c34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.841060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes33c33.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3322026.4%58 W · 162 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.893455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2526133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99838.8%38 W · 60 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9530751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd014…c792backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.854259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a9…30bcbacked No77c28.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked No52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.996555.4%36 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No76c21.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.151,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0609…574fbacked Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked No77c20.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4170948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.219856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked No77c19.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24e7…fae1backed No77c19.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.