Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: IGZIST vs AGELITE (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700365d4d8fea126d1a90ff99cff981531d19c72ef25b9c72907b0096b342216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IGZISTof IGZIST, AGELITE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked IGZIST | 45c | 1,837$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.14 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed AGELITE | 55c | 1,388$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.37 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked AGELITE | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked IGZIST | 45c | 551.76$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.47 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked AGELITE | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed IGZIST | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed IGZIST | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked AGELITE | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked IGZIST | 47c | 166.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed AGELITE | 23c | 148.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 238 | 34%81 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed AGELITE | 56c | 148.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked IGZIST | 44c | 141.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed IGZIST | 79c | 127.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked AGELITE | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed AGELITE | 57c | 70.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed AGELITE | 54c | 56.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed IGZIST | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed AGELITE | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed AGELITE | 56c | 34.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed IGZIST | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked IGZIST | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked AGELITE | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed AGELITE | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked AGELITE | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked AGELITE | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.