TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Bucks50c25,095$12,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,429.431,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers51c23,055$11,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,286.6660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks48c18,850$9,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,047.811,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks49c18,004$8,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,748.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks49c11,669$5,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,732.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks49c11,348$5,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,575.274,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers52c10,444$5,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,002.9363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers50c9,883$4,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,911.151,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked 76ers52c8,837$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.6132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks48c6,660$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.512,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers52c5,507$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.4490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked 76ers49c4,500$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30511945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers53c4,463$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Bucks47c4,126$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers52c3,944$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.7858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers52c3,488$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6741,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks48c3,340$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.1770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Bucks47c3,247$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.8916039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed 76ers52c2,914$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.5356453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked 76ers52c2,914$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.5317055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed 76ers52c2,335$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.6229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks48c2,207$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Bucks48c2,162$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.0219745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Bucks47c2,056$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.249447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks50c2,020$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers53c1,944$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.4989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks47c1,889$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.6138750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers52c1,732$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.3171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks48c1,716$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.583,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Bucks48c1,601$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.2424450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed 76ers52c1,401$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.3744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed 76ers52c1,095$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.0127455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks48c1,079$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed 76ers53c1,020$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.585945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Bucks50c1,019$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.931,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks49c997.51$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked 76ers52c971.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1862948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed 76ers52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2519254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed 76ers52c930.84$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1829848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks49c892.05$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.111,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed 76ers48c801.52$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9212542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked 76ers48c799.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked 76ers51c798.29$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0610447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.51,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed 76ers52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked 76ers52c710.29$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4513563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Bucks48c620.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed 76ers80c618.79$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8543269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks48c601.91$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.551,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed 76ers52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9532450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed 76ers52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9536852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Bucks51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bucks50c492.89$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucks50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed 76ers30c455.56$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9719937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Bucks49c433.53$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.111,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed 76ers52c410.71$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1410252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Bucks48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Bucks52c392.36$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0327645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed 76ers52c388.48$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4711451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed 76ers52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed 76ers53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.365633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed 76ers53c366.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Bucks54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.489652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked 76ers52c342.25$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked 76ers52c342.25$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed 76ers52c342.25$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Bucks47c319.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.981,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Bucks80c247$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5614731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Bucks49c243.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.597648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed 76ers52c240.28$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked 76ers48c232.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3633748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked 76ers52c218.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked 76ers53c214.53$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.836155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed 76ers53c208.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2349852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed 76ers53c204.08$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9225550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 76ers53c203.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.411,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed 76ers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Bucks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Bucks49c197.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed 76ers58c197.17$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0448751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed 76ers23c188.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked 76ers52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.659655.2%53 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked 76ers52c182.76$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5819659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed 76ers50c175.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.962842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Bucks51c166.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.521,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed 76ers49c163.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Bucks48c156.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers51c146$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.031,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed 76ers52c136.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed 76ers52c128.89$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Bucks50c127.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8240750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…21cdbacked Bucks68c117.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.23754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers53c113.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8692750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Bucks45c106.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Bucks50c105.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked 76ers52c100.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6823655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed 76ers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5222850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.