TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Bucks50c10,848$5,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,443.171,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks53c8,411$4,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers47c7,876$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks52c5,320$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks52c3,989$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers50c3,006$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.751,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed 76ers48c1,929$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.1429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers48c1,919$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers48c1,896$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.741,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed 76ers27c1,477$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.2717249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked 76ers48c1,453$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.6617055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks52c1,405$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed 76ers45c1,043$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.771,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed 76ers48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7719254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bucks55c1,007$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.741,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 76ers48c1,001$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.531,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers48c952.36$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.5171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed 76ers55c652.07$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.431,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed 76ers48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8632450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed 76ers48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8636852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks53c576.92$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks51c519.36$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.233,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks53c451.55$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.061,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks52c448.87$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.661,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked 76ers46c422.46$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9618643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked 76ers48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked 76ers48c385.82$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6313563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Bucks53c368$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed 76ers48c361.36$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9127455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks63c346.39$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Bucks55c265.34$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Bucks41c262.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed 76ers47c236.2$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a8a8backed Bucks55c223.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Bucks73c220.47$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…bb43backed 76ers46c214.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Bucks51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.066844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Bucks54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2426755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Bucks54c158.56$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed 76ers56c153.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2521848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Bucks54c135.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9315055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked 76ers48c129.51$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.359655.2%53 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Bucks52c124.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5823549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Bucks55c106.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3820146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Bucks53c104.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.471,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked 76ers41c102.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6110447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked 76ers48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4815352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks49c98.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Bucks52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5666046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Bucks67c91.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bucks48c80.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 76ers48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked 76ers48c77.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Bucks55c74.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.781,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed 76ers56c73.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4448751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers48c72.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.91,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked 76ers48c69.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2723655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Bucks57c68.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9716245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Bucks51c61.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.058433.3%28 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked 76ers48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Bucks55c58.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1120558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed 76ers48c57.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks73c56.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.471,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c7e…8301backed 76ers49c56.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.672646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Bucks55c55.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.691,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Bucks52c53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5622456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed 76ers48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.248252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed 76ers48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2423650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Bucks29c47.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers54c45.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Bucks51c44.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5213747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Bucks67c42.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers48c38.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1692750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Bucks52c38.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.077648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed 76ers50c34.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4636350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked 76ers48c33.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2413554.8%74 W · 61 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 76ers46c29.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.821,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed 76ers48c29.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.226352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed 76ers46c28.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.627650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks53c28.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.791,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Bucks64c27.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.756825%17 W · 51 L-12.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked 76ers48c27.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1120443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed 76ers48c26.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.025655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed 76ers48c26.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1431354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed 76ers48c26.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9925049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c5…5833backed 76ers48c26.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked 76ers47c25.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa212…57d0backed 76ers47c25.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6733…03d1backed Bucks59c24.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers46c24.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.062,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed 76ers48c24.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6540548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Bucks51c24.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.384942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks51c23.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Bucks46c23.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked 76ers47c21.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0616020%32 W · 128 L-27.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Bucks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Bucks51c19.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Bucks55c19.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.