NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d57e73d4e1c050d2b7e59ffc34e9cc795966b9404459963a3a2ed43917ccf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 5,492$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.14 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 4,613$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 55c | 2,200$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 63c | 1,654$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.95 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,365$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 36c | 1,009$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.27 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 55c | 982.73$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.5 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 448.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 49c | 298.14$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 54c | 214.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over | 52c | 200.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 47c | 140.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Under | 57c | 97.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 49c | 92.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 55c | 87.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 50c | 82.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Over | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 61.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…b2f4backed Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. 76ers76ers won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-15.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.