TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c49,617$21,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,839.611,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under57c22,663$12,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,915.641,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under55c22,590$12,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,531.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c11,026$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,733.481,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Under49c4,478$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.333933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under49c3,390$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.0912450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over49c2,696$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.1517249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under51c2,141$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.1614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c1,939$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.043,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over31c1,755$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.71,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c1,751$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over52c1,672$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.8452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c1,455$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.8789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over51c1,348$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.1219246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Over49c1,212$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.888350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,182$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5108348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under60c977.21$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.0671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under60c966.3$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.621,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under60c958.06$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.6658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Over52c851.74$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.841369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under52c819.18$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc594…773fbacked Under63c781.79$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.761030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c713.71$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c691.28$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.261,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c663.96$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under54c626.83$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1819254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over42c590.9$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.911,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under53c544.44$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3210447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c504.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.292,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over55c458.72$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under47c441.94$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over47c430$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c423.21$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.111,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under8c418.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c407.31$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under52c398.38$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1610252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c394.34$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Over50c392.49$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.021936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over55c372.02$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8c…2f40backed Over47c343.57$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.09850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over54c341.94$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.711,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over70c309.89$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.011,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Under53c281.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.373828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over36c281.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c268.2$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under67c257.88$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c241.1$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.781,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Over63c221.3$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.177646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.635849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under52c219.43$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4237647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c213.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.031,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c198$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.961,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under51c191.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0413148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2513655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1229848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c184.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under50c178.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2424849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c161.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under52c156.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c154.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over52c151.03$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over49c146.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.942450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6e…21cdbacked Under55c145.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.093754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c132.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9893145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.911354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under46c126.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3323445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under46c119.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over43c116.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c115.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under57c113.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7923549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under71c111$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.419748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c102.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.411,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Under56c95.77$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.553167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.561,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5611653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c92.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.81,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under63c91.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under47c90.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5217553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c89.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.31,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over40c88.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3649247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over40c88.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under58c88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2253348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under63c87.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under56c85.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62de…39fbbacked Under49c67.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under65c66.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over38c63.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2710523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under53c63.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5521350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under67c62.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under48c61.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.867646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under70c59.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9722048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over50c59.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.848652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.272277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.7wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over52c58.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9754951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f0…f424backed Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.