TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers54c62,036$33,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,518.9642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks37c18,915$6,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,983.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks47c16,060$7,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,488.153,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bucks47c13,652$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.691,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks47c11,235$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,280.271,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed 76ers53c7,719$4,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.7721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa065…b825backed Bucks79c7,120$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Bucks40c6,751$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.031,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Bucks61c4,542$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.8519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers53c4,212$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Bucks77c4,212$3,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.6810945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks45c3,835$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers52c3,214$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.8572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks33c2,969$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.382,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Bucks48c2,730$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.445442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks42c2,443$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.863,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks45c2,102$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 76ers52c2,098$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.9759646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks25c1,883$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.911,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed 76ers53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.784652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bucks46c1,829$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.881,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks47c1,750$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks48c1,523$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.542,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Bucks49c1,347$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.164032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bucks41c1,329$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.8968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed 76ers58c1,267$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.8959140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked 76ers52c1,263$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.5377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Bucks47c1,204$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.0663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bucks49c1,022$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed 76ers53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.998348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed 76ers47c930.61$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.3528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks42c908.95$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.761,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed 76ers54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.177247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Bucks44c793.9$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.3115141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers55c784.24$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked 76ers54c682.95$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers56c663.25$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed 76ers54c639.26$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0622159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucks24c624.93$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.651,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked 76ers50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29114549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Bucks38c536.53$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Bucks39c512$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers55c508.25$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.821,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed 76ers23c445.38$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9423435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks45c444.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.871,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers52c429.54$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.181,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Bucks46c420$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.21,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Bucks45c409$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed 76ers55c404.93$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2210252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks47c395.36$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.311,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Bucks48c391.4$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked 76ers55c371.19$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0411873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Bucks11c361.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed 76ers55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2225657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked 76ers55c337.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked 76ers56c312.16$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3537647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Bucks52c311.94$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.677248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Bucks46c290.96$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked 76ers52c281.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.193828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Bucks47c278.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7210447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4120…a22dbacked 76ers55c274.39$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Bucks44c270$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.816039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Bucks76c269.74$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…29ddbacked Bucks46c268.03$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e2…e5f3backed 76ers56c262.87$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.662161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks45c258.55$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks46c244.19$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.242,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Bucks46c237.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked 76ers68c236.82$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.951,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed 76ers55c215.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Bucks47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Bucks46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9117748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Bucks47c189.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0724849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed 76ers52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6513148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed 76ers53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1829554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d475backed 76ers53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d95…2342backed 76ers54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.837250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed 76ers38c176.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.393351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 76ers47c167.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8636949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bucks38c165$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Bucks30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.93167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Bucks45c152.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.558652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed 76ers32c143.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8411143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked 76ers55c138.78$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Bucks49c137$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed 76ers54c135.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Bucks44c134$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.513837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked 76ers55c133.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.78846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Bucks45c127.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5417651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Bucks47c123.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0920146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bucks47c120.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Bucks47c120.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Bucks47c120.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bucks44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.21,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Bucks42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.269748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed 76ers55c107.03$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.167256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Bucks55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Bucks46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Bucks55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.