TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Akron Zips vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawksof Akron Zips, Miami (OH) RedHawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,659 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb43…3c74backed Akron Zips64c4,500$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Akron Zips61c3,326$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.793,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks36c3,098$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Miami (OH) RedHawks36c1,866$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.0584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Akron Zips62c1,830$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.744,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks46c1,639$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.3312354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Akron Zips56c1,582$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.242,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Akron Zips59c1,559$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.8155657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks48c1,044$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks37c955$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.651,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Miami (OH) RedHawks37c873$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.992,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c798.61$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.23,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Miami (OH) RedHawks43c700.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.973953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks36c679.56$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.921,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks42c599.97$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.982,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks73c466.14$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.711,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks57c389$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.81,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks36c320.59$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1852928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Akron Zips65c320.22$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Akron Zips13c299.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.58814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks33c294.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8819237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Akron Zips64c268$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8465825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Miami (OH) RedHawks23c261.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Miami (OH) RedHawks52c249.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.422,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Miami (OH) RedHawks36c246.47$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7440147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Akron Zips13c224.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.151478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Akron Zips42c221.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.253256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Akron Zips58c219.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3636942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Akron Zips14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Akron Zips58c191.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0432343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Akron Zips74c189.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Akron Zips43c186.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Akron Zips54c182.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.271,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c13…e7febacked Akron Zips33c147.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Miami (OH) RedHawks36c124.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks57c123$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Akron Zips52c106.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f19…325ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c100.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.141540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Akron Zips70c100.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1919050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks42c94.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.651782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks27c73.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2653635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks30c66.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.844,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Akron Zips62c64.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Akron Zips47c63.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Miami (OH) RedHawks47c62.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0745644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Akron Zips34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks39c48.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.749043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7af3…2320backed Miami (OH) RedHawks31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Miami (OH) RedHawks59c44.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks27c44.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.171,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa958…c06cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks53c43.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Akron Zips58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x070b…9914backed Miami (OH) RedHawks36c31.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Akron Zips39c30.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.989821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x741d…b4edbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks76c26.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Akron Zips60c20.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0320051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.