NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc94e48ce4386e5d8e80cedc50f047d63f0854bbbe9b74190d2299ad66c9300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 49c | 98,950$48,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,464.64 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 41,225$21,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,024.5 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 30,404$15,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,505.28 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 7,437$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Over | 4c | 2,200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 4c | 2,082$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 1,274$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 10c | 1,199$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 6c | 1,083$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 50c | 1,060$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.28 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 55c | 814$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Over | 4c | 750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 230.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed Under | 49c | 210.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0854…fb45backed Over | 53c | 199.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 36c | 106.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 96.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 52c | 69.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 54c | 44.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…31f8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 36.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 60c | 34.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 47c | 29.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked Over | 50c | 28.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac8…12edbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 50c | 24.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 53c | 24.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…680abacked Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…cdbdbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 19.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Wizards won
- Nets vs. WizardsWizards won
- Nets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Nets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.