NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58a3632f017f17213bbfdb281236e301e10bcde7db761b0d1d81e941488d625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 55c | 4,612$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.36 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 53c | 4,608$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans | 45c | 3,699$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Hawks | 54c | 3,676$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 45c | 3,310$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,950$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 45c | 2,494$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 44c | 2,031$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 56c | 1,390$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.51 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks | 55c | 1,089$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks | 53c | 980$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Hawks | 55c | 739.98$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Pelicans | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 45c | 433.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Hawks | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Hawks | 52c | 249.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Pelicans | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Pelicans | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Pelicans | 45c | 168$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Pelicans | 45c | 167.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hawks | 55c | 158.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Pelicans | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Pelicans | 45c | 110.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Pelicans | 37c | 107.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Pelicans | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Pelicans | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Pelicans | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Pelicans | 48c | 96.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Hawks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hawks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hawks | 56c | 88.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hawks | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pelicans | 28c | 84.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 43c | 69.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 39c | 67.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hawks | 67c | 64.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Pelicans | 42c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Pelicans | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Hawks | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Pelicans | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Pelicans | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hawks | 52c | 41.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hawks | 66c | 36.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…7a54backed Pelicans | 45c | 28.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…c75fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 28.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Hawks | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hawks | 53c | 27.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Hawks | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…7f18backed Hawks | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Pelicans | 45c | 25.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 54c | 24.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Hawks | 69c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. HawksHawks won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.