NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc05128764cf9d40a0f5207911612e18c70e3a30b56c73f0fc23bd017f1815eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 50c | 20,500$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Under | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 10,466$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.63 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 8,503$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…aafabacked Over | 51c | 8,353$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 50c | 7,646$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.06 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 50c | 6,974$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.25 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 6,293$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.35 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Over | 50c | 4,671$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.43 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 51c | 4,465$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,220$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 3,416$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,945$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…b35fbacked Over | 51c | 2,626$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 2,070$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.1 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 1,763$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,092$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Under | 51c | 393$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 50c | 333$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Over | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 49c | 184.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 184.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 171$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 148.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 49c | 141$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Under | 52c | 115.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 110.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 50c | 99.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 51c | 79.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 63.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…16aebacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 50c | 32.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 50c | 32.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40c…53f6backed Under | 52c | 25.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Under | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5this page
- Pelicans vs. HawksHawks won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.