NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeed125c56fe54811f18433496e93e2dd958bd4e7b71a654c833b8f9ecce9197d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 49c | 102,000$49,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,020 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 101,790$51,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,913.02 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 54c | 13,471$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,232.61 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 49c | 11,072$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.25 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Under | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 47c | 7,934$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.38 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 52c | 4,644$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.83 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 48c | 2,569$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.62 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 2,016$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.05 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 45c | 1,758$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.9 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,487$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 53c | 1,332$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 49c | 950$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 728$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 721.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 580.97$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 54c | 554.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 53c | 537.17$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.51 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 494.58$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 479.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 53c | 322.38$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 313.32$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 52c | 273.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 54c | 243$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 233$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 223$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 207.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…6f35backed Over | 54c | 181.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 160.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 51c | 127.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 53c | 92.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 53c | 63.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…89c2backed Over | 54c | 60.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 52c | 53.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 49.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…b668backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…f6c4backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 37.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 49c | 36.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Under | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5this page
- Pelicans vs. HawksHawks won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.