Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa1bb42f38615c9d97d95695166d9d18915e084de87249d1c0a81ff86e2f4c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 31c | 9,250$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.25 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 5,627$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.44 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,020$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.97 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 1,950$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.84 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,452$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 729.08$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 73c | 400.5$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 293.22$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 31c | 250$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 13c | 208.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 172.63$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 49c | 132.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 69c | 112$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 32c | 109.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 72c | 90.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 30c | 84.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed No | 31c | 81.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 70.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 37c | 69.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 60.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 25c | 58.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 75c | 53.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 31c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 52.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed Yes | 33c | 49.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 44.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 44.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 69c | 35.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 35.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…beeabacked Yes | 75c | 31.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 30.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…8be1backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 73c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 69c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed No | 68c | 19.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 17.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.