Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94d7ee4d029ea2702f2635bb030cbd364e287ac6bbe2f315a7a65e105afb3a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 57c | 48,737$27,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,977.19 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 19,303$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,002.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 14,266$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.43 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 55c | 6,207$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.72 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 5,385$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 43c | 4,069$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.33 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,828$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.74 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,707$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,457$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.57 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 58c | 1,631$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.19 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 40c | 1,302$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.38 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 1,206$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.13 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 58c | 1,011$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.36 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 820.95$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 37c | 743.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.7 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 46c | 586.63$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.91 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 52c | 536.54$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 535.55$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 417.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 353.76$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 42c | 238.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 13c | 225$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…24b0backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 40c | 211.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 169.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Yes | 36c | 168.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 53c | 165.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 145.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…368abacked Yes | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 129.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed No | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 12c | 104.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb954…d144backed Yes | 50c | 98.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed No | 58c | 92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 41c | 83.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 65c | 78.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 51c | 75.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 43c | 64.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…2489backed Yes | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…1ba1backed Yes | 45c | 56.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 41c | 48.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…8be1backed Yes | 51c | 47.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 79c | 42.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 42c | 34.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 42c | 24.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed No | 60c | 22.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.