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Tennis · resolved market

Adelaide International: Daniel Altmaier vs Jaume Munar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Munarof Altmaier, Munar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Altmaier35c5,056$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.61,21149.1%595 W · 616 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Altmaier0c4,558$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.542,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Munar65c4,500$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57533955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Munar59c3,417$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.482,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Altmaier32c3,094$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.8944754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Altmaier58c2,555$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4823033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Munar66c2,512$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.977046.9%361 W · 409 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Munar76c2,095$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.738,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Altmaier27c1,901$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.518151.9%42 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+133.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Altmaier25c1,828$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3721843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Munar43c1,619$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.2711,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Munar68c1,605$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.012,49251.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L+15.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Munar68c1,332$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.172,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Altmaier39c1,094$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.536046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Altmaier6c1,058$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2180938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Munar59c975.74$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.0266258.9%390 W · 272 L-32.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Altmaier31c970$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.76833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Munar68c700$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22727944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…7102backed Altmaier41c661.61$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.841872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Altmaier11c638.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3126921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1197…9829backed Altmaier31c600.03$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Munar71c594.65$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6518933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Munar57c555$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6512631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Altmaier30c512$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6525428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Altmaier36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18058639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed Altmaier2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Munar63c370.68$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.042,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Munar50c367.6$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.917,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Altmaier56c355.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Munar63c340.92$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5228139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Munar77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6869350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Altmaier34c312.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2773048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Altmaier4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.654599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Munar62c298.12$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1822236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Munar68c270$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.414744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Altmaier28c261.23$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0627627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Munar67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.512450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Altmaier37c243.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024944.6%111 W · 138 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Altmaier31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7537744.3%167 W · 210 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Altmaier18c229.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Altmaier7c226.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.862,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Altmaier50c226$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849a…44aabacked Munar50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…ee68backed Munar69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb7…3bf0backed Altmaier47c199.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Altmaier18c188.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9822840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Munar68c182$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Munar59c170.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.161,86248.3%900 W · 962 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Altmaier23c156.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.322,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Altmaier33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Munar67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Munar67c149.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.966259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Munar68c145$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.416150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Altmaier57c137.56$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.415040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Munar67c137$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.211,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Altmaier11c121.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,38416.5%228 W · 1,156 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Munar63c103.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Altmaier31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312825%7 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08be…2728backed Altmaier33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-73.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf9f…60aebacked Munar69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d5…1102backed Altmaier33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7f…a107backed Munar69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ea…3d0ebacked Altmaier36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Altmaier39c99.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.652,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Altmaier30c98.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.796918.8%13 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Munar43c85.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.843053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Altmaier32c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Altmaier52c79.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8310843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Munar73c71.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.384459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Altmaier36c64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1810532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Munar48c63.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.35050%25 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Munar47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832,34846.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L+54.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Altmaier34c59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.061,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Munar66c59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0615363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcaa2…6b1abacked Munar70c56.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Munar49c52.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.878,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Munar67c48.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.929033.1%96 W · 194 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Altmaier50c47.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6411553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596d…dde6backed Altmaier57c45.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Munar49c40.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4239850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Munar68c39.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Altmaier33c38.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.611,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6abbbacked Munar70c31.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431090%9 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick70cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Munar65c30.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.514351.2%22 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Munar49c23.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9914947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Munar46c21.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.675660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Munar64c20.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3716870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…0ed3backed Munar54c18.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Munar65c16.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5524846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked Munar66c15.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.31785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.