Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Cameron Norrie vs Hugo Gaston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17327fb4a1e01c2e5ce5516eb23877944d6174de78d4a4632acaab322ba1bbad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Norrie, Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gaston | 17c | 14,490$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.32 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gaston | 14c | 11,236$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.82 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gaston | 15c | 5,005$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Norrie | 65c | 3,074$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.66 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gaston | 35c | 2,752$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.38 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Norrie | 60c | 2,672$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.36 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Gaston | 9c | 1,998$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…a8bbbacked Norrie | 64c | 1,829$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gaston | 20c | 1,762$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Gaston | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Gaston | 21c | 1,250$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Gaston | 19c | 1,066$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Gaston | 36c | 1,047$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Gaston | 37c | 1,005$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.76 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gaston | 19c | 955.86$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gaston | 6c | 935.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gaston | 43c | 850.03$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.52 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Gaston | 12c | 843.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gaston | 40c | 752.58$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…70e3backed Norrie | 64c | 705.08$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Gaston | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Norrie | 64c | 650$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gaston | 35c | 559.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Gaston | 10c | 547.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Gaston | 43c | 534.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gaston | 27c | 469.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Gaston | 13c | 453.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Gaston | 36c | 417.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gaston | 34c | 326$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Gaston | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie | 62c | 286.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Gaston | 10c | 217.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Gaston | 11c | 214.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Gaston | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…81bcbacked Gaston | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…3e23backed Norrie | 70c | 199.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Gaston | 14c | 181.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Norrie | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Norrie | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Norrie | 64c | 155.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Gaston | 38c | 135.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Norrie | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Gaston | 35c | 116.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Gaston | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Norrie | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Gaston | 16c | 101.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Norrie | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Norrie | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Gaston | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Norrie | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Norrie | 65c | 96.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Gaston | 37c | 87.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Norrie | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Norrie | 60c | 83.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Norrie | 79c | 79.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Gaston | 17c | 65.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Norrie | 79c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Gaston | 20c | 50.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Gaston | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Norrie | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…4600backed Norrie | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Gaston | 34c | 44.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Norrie | 58c | 44.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Norrie | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Gaston | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Gaston | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Norrie | 62c | 32.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Norrie | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Norrie | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gaston | 43c | 30.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…e6f0backed Norrie | 64c | 25.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Norrie | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Norrie | 69c | 24.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Norrie | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d5…ea77backed Norrie | 79c | 18.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…2cf8backed Norrie | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…9676backed Norrie | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…92cebacked Norrie | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Cameron Norrie vs Hugo Gastonthis page
- Norrie vs. Gaston: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs GastonNorrie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.