Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf404d54bda0d2b9f5a15767a1af433c40785e58475502848a77bdaafc2eb6b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 52c | 3,958$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.06 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 2,677$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 47c | 2,238$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,061$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.49 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…dc61backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 57c | 176.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 166.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…13cabacked Over | 18c | 151.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Over | 51c | 106.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 27c | 89.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 56c | 75.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 44c | 75.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 53c | 59.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Over | 53c | 59.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over | 48c | 49.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…f267backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 52c | 34.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Over | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Under | 48c | 27.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.