TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x572b…77e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+352.5%+$93.48
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+507.7%+$220.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.04
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.2
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.12
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.37
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.92
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.32
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+562.3%+$142.63
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47.66
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40.08
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.8
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.84
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.12
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+468.7%+$237.36
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+270.4%+$87.6
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+323.7%+$36.67
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+332.1%+$64.56
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempobacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+437.6%+$97.68
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.97
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.02
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$169.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+134.8%+$344.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.