Fifa International · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc39d18b26ce5f251407fd567be5686d1393239544110cf951b45e655420854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 27c | 4,883$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.28 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 74c | 680.34$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked Yes | 25c | 602.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 532$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…d8a7backed Yes | 28c | 511.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 70c | 499.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 424.86$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 30c | 405.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed No | 72c | 378.17$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 71c | 371.14$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…bf05backed Yes | 27c | 362.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 72c | 355.28$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 334$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 75c | 265.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 72c | 215$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…0284backed Yes | 26c | 150.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Yes | 27c | 150.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 74c | 142.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 76c | 115$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…cb06backed Yes | 28c | 106.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 102.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 98.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…8ac2backed Yes | 27c | 93.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 64.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…4825backed Yes | 31c | 57.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 34.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 73c | 29.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 72c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assiststhis page
- Agustín Canobbio: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 1+ assistsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 1+ shotsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 2+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 2+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rodri: 2+ assistsNo won
- Rodri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Yeremi Pino: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.