TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Milan: Daniel Rincon vs Mathys Erhard

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniel Rinconof Daniel Rincon, Mathys Erhard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Mathys Erhard30c3,632$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Daniel Rincon66c2,547$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.9811153.2%59 W · 52 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mathys Erhard44c1,516$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.626,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Rincon57c1,501$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.984,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Mathys Erhard22c1,496$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.671,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Daniel Rincon75c1,341$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf816…0433backed Mathys Erhard38c1,320$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Daniel Rincon62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.9949252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mathys Erhard36c1,179$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.898,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Daniel Rincon56c1,121$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.244,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Daniel Rincon57c1,068$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.331,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Mathys Erhard43c1,000$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43236440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Mathys Erhard26c957.48$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Rincon66c937.81$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mathys Erhard22c803.38$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.888,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mathys Erhard42c617.68$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.435,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Daniel Rincon76c612.94$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.17865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Daniel Rincon58c606.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9532147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mathys Erhard42c599.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.397,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8e…b1babacked Daniel Rincon50c545.13$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9806…2e4ebacked Daniel Rincon75c535.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Rincon71c500$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.29,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Daniel Rincon62c484.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.31,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Rincon68c462.42$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.284,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mathys Erhard35c462.17$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.684,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Mathys Erhard29c449.86$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Mathys Erhard41c324.34$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.151,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mathys Erhard44c260$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.23,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Daniel Rincon74c256$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.181,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Mathys Erhard45c249.6$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3227753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Mathys Erhard41c244.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Daniel Rincon65c215$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.681,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Daniel Rincon64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mathys Erhard41c198.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.711,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mathys Erhard39c161.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.423,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mathys Erhard28c155.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.916,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mathys Erhard42c149.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.341,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mathys Erhard39c143.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.92,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Mathys Erhard42c139.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7838446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Daniel Rincon71c137.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5711365.5%74 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b7…76b7backed Daniel Rincon71c135.46$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.281241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Daniel Rincon53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.444949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mathys Erhard38c110.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Mathys Erhard38c107.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Daniel Rincon65c103.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.481457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Mathys Erhard33c102$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Mathys Erhard50c100.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.31,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Mathys Erhard42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.41,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Mathys Erhard30c99.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4862140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Mathys Erhard44c91.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Rincon61c89.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.46,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mathys Erhard39c89.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.172,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Mathys Erhard38c86.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Daniel Rincon71c86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9658453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Mathys Erhard46c85.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2155748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Daniel Rincon65c85.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3213449.3%66 W · 68 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Mathys Erhard38c81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.051,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Daniel Rincon62c80.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.475450%27 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Daniel Rincon62c79.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3814547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Mathys Erhard42c71.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2528237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mathys Erhard43c69.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.132,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Mathys Erhard32c67.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4657845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Mathys Erhard43c66.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2962549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Daniel Rincon62c64.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.114150.4%71 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Mathys Erhard40c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6843950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Daniel Rincon63c62.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Mathys Erhard42c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.199249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Daniel Rincon73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.235349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Mathys Erhard47c59.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.862,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Daniel Rincon57c56.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.221,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mathys Erhard26c52.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.494,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Mathys Erhard34c52.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.949943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Daniel Rincon72c51.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4933152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e11…9f74backed Daniel Rincon79c50.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.383275%24 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Mathys Erhard30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Mathys Erhard48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdef0…664ebacked Daniel Rincon73c48.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9811562.6%72 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Daniel Rincon55c47.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.552,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Mathys Erhard42c46.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5560452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7497…18cebacked Mathys Erhard44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Mathys Erhard33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Mathys Erhard41c44.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Mathys Erhard27c44.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.812,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Mathys Erhard28c44.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.345,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Mathys Erhard40c42.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0599244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Mathys Erhard35c39.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0322230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Mathys Erhard46c36.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.833,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Mathys Erhard42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Daniel Rincon55c35.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7894058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Mathys Erhard38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3573951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Daniel Rincon58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.742,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Mathys Erhard43c34.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8385250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Daniel Rincon63c31.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.986470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Daniel Rincon64c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.086940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Mathys Erhard43c30.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1545744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Mathys Erhard44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.254746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Daniel Rincon58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6733557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be2…e4c7backed Daniel Rincon62c29.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.342759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Mathys Erhard42c29.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Daniel Rincon69c28.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812924.1%7 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.