Asian League · resolved market
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9453795a6d71543819615efdbd76c42010441b104ccf9333b1c756ee38acd03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 4,364$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.95 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,250$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 47c | 1,673$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 75c | 1,232$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 71c | 1,125$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.21 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 530$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.6 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 519.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 42c | 412.78$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Yes | 27c | 357.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 73c | 334.07$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 19c | 266.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 262.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 48c | 244.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 32c | 231.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 230.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 44c | 213.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 209.35$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yes | 34c | 177$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 27c | 111.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 27c | 108.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 76c | 94.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 38c | 81.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 76.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 63.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 60.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…15c6backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed No | 75c | 51.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…fbd3backed Yes | 23c | 45.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 33c | 35.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 19.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 68c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…74e6backed No | 76c | 17.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 75c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Nagoya Grampus vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.