Euroleague · resolved market
Bilbao Basket vs. Basquet Girona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b36ec215c100fbcafbb31a0f001cef2db612eccece977563657f3a957347f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilbao Basketof Bilbao Basket, Basquet Girona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bilbao Basket | 75c | 3,552$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.23 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Bilbao Basket | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bilbao Basket | 72c | 1,856$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.53 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Basquet Girona | 23c | 1,459$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.72 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basquet Girona | 23c | 914.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Basquet Girona | 26c | 847.53$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Basquet Girona | 36c | 784.91$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.97 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Basquet Girona | 2c | 648.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Basquet Girona | 27c | 525.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Basquet Girona | 35c | 512.72$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Basquet Girona | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Basquet Girona | 46c | 469.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.87 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Basquet Girona | 29c | 458.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Basquet Girona | 27c | 333$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Bilbao Basket | 64c | 311.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Basquet Girona | 20c | 287$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Bilbao Basket | 72c | 197.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Basquet Girona | 24c | 194.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Basquet Girona | 22c | 189.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Basquet Girona | 26c | 187.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Basquet Girona | 25c | 182.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…daa9backed Bilbao Basket | 64c | 171.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Bilbao Basket | 76c | 150.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Basquet Girona | 29c | 137.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Bilbao Basket | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Bilbao Basket | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bilbao Basket | 74c | 111.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Bilbao Basket | 68c | 110.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…2f5abacked Bilbao Basket | 76c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Basquet Girona | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bilbao Basket | 71c | 93.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bilbao Basket | 72c | 91.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bilbao Basket | 73c | 87.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Basquet Girona | 40c | 80.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Basquet Girona | 30c | 75.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Basquet Girona | 33c | 71.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Basquet Girona | 28c | 61.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Basquet Girona | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Bilbao Basket | 73c | 52.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Bilbao Basket | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…8429backed Basquet Girona | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basquet Girona | 46c | 45.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…6f99backed Basquet Girona | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Basquet Girona | 24c | 44.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Basquet Girona | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Bilbao Basket | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bilbao Basket | 74c | 39.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Bilbao Basket | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Bilbao Basket | 73c | 37.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Basquet Girona | 30c | 37.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Bilbao Basket | 72c | 37.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Bilbao Basket | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Bilbao Basket | 72c | 25.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189b…5718backed Bilbao Basket | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Bilbao Basket | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…49f2backed Bilbao Basket | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…9927backed Bilbao Basket | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +245.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.