Fifa International · resolved market
Will Algeria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e21faf3cc93e0d085f339dde90dcb6a09b4fbb0a6ec90bb92bd8b526419f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 52c | 866.05$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.94 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 37c | 605$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 68c | 592.74$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 56c | 549.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 53c | 422.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 341.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 313.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 60c | 303.45$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 77c | 180.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 25c | 164.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 22c | 160.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 67c | 160.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 66c | 157.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 25c | 140.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 42c | 128.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 14c | 120.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 107.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 98.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…e9f3backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 33c | 73.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 66c | 63.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…8847backed Yes | 39c | 55.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed No | 58c | 43.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…7e04backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 62c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 70c | 37.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 43c | 37.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e3…1987backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 59c | 30.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa281…571ebacked Yes | 50c | 26.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 53c | 19.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 75c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Algeria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.