TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c12,920$6,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,281.1873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c12,006$7,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.3799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No53c11,173$5,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.3753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes38c9,890$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.4298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c6,230$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.543,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c4,170$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.8472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c4,127$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.7970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No53c4,122$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.3433346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No51c2,401$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.485743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c2,400$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.841,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes6c2,222$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.772846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c1,780$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.6553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No64c1,626$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.0238246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No61c1,106$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes48c754.17$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36210043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3223735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c628.41$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes35c583.37$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.184413.6%6 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No49c536.08$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.44062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No63c529.59$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0111633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes31c381$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No57c380.74$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5912650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes9c370.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed No52c326.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Yes48c321.73$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.431910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-77.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes39c285.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.212317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes35c257.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No65c231.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No62c225.68$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.647757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed No50c222.1$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes8c205$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.324531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes47c195$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.652955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No52c188.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4710628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes47c151.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0826450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked No52c147.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No64c145$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4413464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3511144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes47c134$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.984528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No75c127.51$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes31c115$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No52c111.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.332673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No52c102$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9618456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Yes30c101.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No61c99.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3214957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No62c92.15$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0212058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No51c91.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0317858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes50c88.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2619642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No50c82.66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9816456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c81.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.321,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes35c80.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.871,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No64c75.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9720252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No68c71.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed No52c71.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.443043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked No52c71.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.121782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+43.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40b3…6237backed Yes46c65.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No72c58.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.331050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes48c52.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes41c50.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed No62c48.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes37c46.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes50c45.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.938447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c45.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6243…0e83backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed No52c44.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.132770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+71.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes41c43.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9631446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed No50c37.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.633557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe44…1ad3backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+98.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No58c32.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.835954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes52c30.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.613447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes52c29.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.283951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No59c25.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.739654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed No50c25.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.653250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No52c24.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.569345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No51c23.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6313259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No52c23.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.158454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No51c21.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.87263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed No50c21.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No52c21.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2111848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4881…53bcbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe37f…a74bbacked No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.