Mls · resolved market
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf02fe6b1035c47358a105145492ec3fdc1e2a55b57ab8a8a8d7873cee015b433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 1c | 6,177$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 28c | 5,683$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.23 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 25c | 5,113$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.68 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 2,790$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.26 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 59c | 2,461$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.95 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 36c | 2,389$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 2,238$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 63c | 2,132$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.43 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 2,053$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.41 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 76c | 1,824$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.63 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 59c | 1,519$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.43 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 1,190$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.17 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 6c | 775.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 46c | 666$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Yes | 77c | 649.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed No | 63c | 634.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 26c | 608.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 80c | 463.23$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 49c | 463.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.05 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 26c | 418.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 75c | 270$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 75c | 256$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 9c | 214.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 79c | 196$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 31c | 151.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 144.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 118.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 34c | 110.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…5782backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…e542backed No | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 43c | 93.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…ddd4backed Yes | 26c | 61.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Yes | 24c | 61.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 60.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 34c | 54.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 40c | 53.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 52c | 27.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 75c | 25.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 23.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Yes | 51c | 19.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…05e3backed Yes | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.